Guillaume Gaulier

Adviser to the Director of Macroeconomic Analaysis and Forecasting

Guillaume Gaulier is an adviser to the Director of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting. He also co-manages the competitiveness network in the Directorate General Statistics, Economics and International (DGSEI), is a member of the DGSEI’s Working Paper Editorial Committee, and correspondent for the Climate Economics Unit. He was previously Head of the International Trade and Competitiveness Division, and an associate professor at Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University. Before joining the Banque de France in 2007, he was a research associate with the CEPII. He has written on various topics in applied trade analysis, growth and convergence, international comparisons (including measure of wellbeing).

Current position

Adviser to the Director of Macroeconomic Analaysis and Forecasting

Previous Position

  • Head of the Competitiveness and International Trade Analysis Division; Economist, Balance of Payment Direction (2007-2009)
  • Economist with CEPII (1999-2006)

Diploma

PhD in Economics, Paris 1 University

Research Interest

International economics

Contact

Academic Publications

Articles
  • « Firms and the global crisis: French exports in the turmoil » avec J.-C. Bricongne, L. Fontagné, D. Taglioni et V. Vicard ; Journal of International Economics, vol. 87, iss. 1, pp. 134–146 ; 2012.
  • « The rise of emerging economies in the EU15 trade » avec F. Lemoine et D. Ünal-Kesenci ; European Journal of Comparative Economics, vol. 9(1), pp. 133-175, 2012.
  • « Les firmes françaises dans le commerce de services » avec E. Milet et D. Mirza ; Economie et statistique, vol. 435-436, pp. 1-23, 2011.
  • « International Comparisons of Living Standards by Equivalent Incomes » avec M. Fleurbaey ; Scandinavian Journal of Economics, vol. 111(3), pp. 597-624, 2009.
  • « Exchange-rate pass-through at the product level » avec A. Lahrèche-Révil, I. Méjean ; Canadian Journal of Economics, vol. 41(2), pp. 425-449, 2008.
  • « Specialisation across Varieties within Products and North-South Competition » avec L. Fontagné, S. Zignago Economic Policy 23 ; 2008.
  • « China's Emergence and the Reorganisation of Trade Flows in Asia» avec F. Lemoine, D. Ünal-Kesenci ; China Economic Review, vol. n° 18, pp. 209-243, 2007.
  • « A Systematic Decomposition of World Trade into Horizontal and Vertical IIT » avec L. Fontagné et M. Freudenberg ; Review of World Economics, vol. n°142 iss. 3, pp. 459-475, 2006.
Others

Publications

Macroeconomic interim projections – September 2026

Macroeconomic projections

Forecasts

15th of September 2026

Macroeconomic interim projections – March 2026

Macroeconomic projections

Forecasts

26th of March 2026

Macroeconomic interim projections – September 2025

Macroeconomic projections

Forecasts

15th of September 2025

14th of February 2025

Macroeconomic projections – December 2024

Macroeconomic projections

Forecasts

19th of December 2024

The gas price shock: never again?

Banque de France Bulletin

Inflation

20th of June 2024

15th of July 2022

18th of August 2021

French goods exports and the challenge of the Covid 19 crisis

Banque de France Bulletin

Economy

20th of July 2021

24th of June 2021

Global value chains and the challenge of Covid-19

Eco Notepad

Economic developments

13th of August 2020

Covid-19 and value chains

Banque de France Bulletin

Economy

17th of July 2020

Overindebtedness, women and single parenthood

Eco Notepad

Economic developments

6th of March 2020

Overindebtedness and women

Banque de France Bulletin

Credit

19th of July 2019

23rd of May 2019

6th of November 2017

9th of January 2017