Guillaume Gaulier

Adviser to the Director of Macroeconomic Analaysis and Forecasting

Guillaume Gaulier is an adviser to the Director of Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting. He also co-manages the competitiveness network in the Directorate General Statistics, Economics and International (DGSEI), is a member of the DGSEI’s Working Paper Editorial Committee, and correspondent for the Climate Economics Unit. He was previously Head of the International Trade and Competitiveness Division, and an associate professor at Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne University. Before joining the Banque de France in 2007, he was a research associate with the CEPII. He has written on various topics in applied trade analysis, growth and convergence, international comparisons (including measure of wellbeing).

Current position

Adviser to the Director of Macroeconomic Analaysis and Forecasting

Previous Position

  • Head of the Competitiveness and International Trade Analysis Division; Economist, Balance of Payment Direction (2007-2009)
  • Economist with CEPII (1999-2006)

Diploma

PhD in Economics, Paris 1 University

Research Interest

International economics

Contact

Academic Publications

Articles
  • « Firms and the global crisis: French exports in the turmoil » avec J.-C. Bricongne, L. Fontagné, D. Taglioni et V. Vicard ; Journal of International Economics, vol. 87, iss. 1, pp. 134–146 ; 2012.
  • « The rise of emerging economies in the EU15 trade » avec F. Lemoine et D. Ünal-Kesenci ; European Journal of Comparative Economics, vol. 9(1), pp. 133-175, 2012.
  • « Les firmes françaises dans le commerce de services » avec E. Milet et D. Mirza ; Economie et statistique, vol. 435-436, pp. 1-23, 2011.
  • « International Comparisons of Living Standards by Equivalent Incomes » avec M. Fleurbaey ; Scandinavian Journal of Economics, vol. 111(3), pp. 597-624, 2009.
  • « Exchange-rate pass-through at the product level » avec A. Lahrèche-Révil, I. Méjean ; Canadian Journal of Economics, vol. 41(2), pp. 425-449, 2008.
  • « Specialisation across Varieties within Products and North-South Competition » avec L. Fontagné, S. Zignago Economic Policy 23 ; 2008.
  • « China's Emergence and the Reorganisation of Trade Flows in Asia» avec F. Lemoine, D. Ünal-Kesenci ; China Economic Review, vol. n° 18, pp. 209-243, 2007.
  • « A Systematic Decomposition of World Trade into Horizontal and Vertical IIT » avec L. Fontagné et M. Freudenberg ; Review of World Economics, vol. n°142 iss. 3, pp. 459-475, 2006.
Others

Publications

Macroeconomic interim projections – March 2026
Macroeconomic projections
Forecasts
26th of March 2026
Macroeconomic interim projections – September 2025
Macroeconomic projections
Forecasts
15th of September 2025
14th of February 2025
Macroeconomic projections – December 2024
Macroeconomic projections
Forecasts
19th of December 2024
The gas price shock: never again?
Banque de France Bulletin
Inflation
20th of June 2024
15th of July 2022
18th of August 2021
French goods exports and the challenge of the Covid 19 crisis
Banque de France Bulletin
Economy
20th of July 2021
24th of June 2021
Global value chains and the challenge of Covid-19
Eco Notepad
Economic developments
13th of August 2020
Covid-19 and value chains
Banque de France Bulletin
Economy
17th of July 2020
Overindebtedness, women and single parenthood
Eco Notepad
Economic developments
6th of March 2020
Overindebtedness and women
Banque de France Bulletin
Credit
19th of July 2019
23rd of May 2019
6th of November 2017
9th of January 2017