Debt ratios by institutional sectors - international comparisons 2021Q2
Published on the 19th of November 2021
Private and public debt ratios decline in Q2 2021 as GDP rebounds, but remain well above their pre-covid levels.
In the second quarter of 2021, the non-financial private sector debt (households and non-financial corporations) stands at 125.9 % of GDP in the euro area, 3.5 points down compared to the previous quarter. This decline is due to the strong growth of nominal GDP in the denominator of the ratio, with debt in the numerator increasing slightly; this effect concerns all countries and sectors (cf. additional information).
Compared to 2019 Q4, the ratio rises by 10.2 points in the euro area. Over this period, the increase differs by country (France +15.2 points in 2021 Q2, Spain +12.9 points, Germany and Italy respectively by +9.3 and +9.2 points) but it does not take into account of the holding of assets.
Outside the euro area, the non-financial private sector debt ratio rises in the other major economies since 2019 Q4 (+17.5 points in Japan, +6.5 in the United Kingdom, and +9.9 in the United States)
Compared to 2019 Q4, the ratio rises by 10.2 points in the euro area. Over this period, the increase differs by country (France +15.2 points in 2021 Q2, Spain +12.9 points, Germany and Italy respectively by +9.3 and +9.2 points) but it does not take into account of the holding of assets.
Outside the euro area, the non-financial private sector debt ratio rises in the other major economies since 2019 Q4 (+17.5 points in Japan, +6.5 in the United Kingdom, and +9.9 in the United States)
Non-financial private sector debt (in % of GDP)
Q4 2019 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2020 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2021 | |
United States | 150.1 | 161.5 | 163.4 | 164.5 | 160.0 |
Japan | 151.7 | 167.7 | 170.1 | 170.8 | 169.1 |
Euro area | 115.7 | 126.3 | 127.5 | 129.4 | 125.9 |
o/w Germany | 98.8 | 106.7 | 108.0 | 109.8 | 108.1 |
France | 134.1 | 151.9 | 154.5 | 154.0 | 149.3 |
Italy | 104.3 | 114.9 | 116.9 | 117.6 | 113.5 |
Spain | 117.5 | 130.8 | 133.0 | 134.2 | 130.4 |
United Kingdom | 139.7 | 148.3 | 149.8 | 150.0 | 146.2 |
* Debt ratio at nominal value for the United Kingdom are calculated by interpolation.
Households debt
Q4 2019 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2020 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2021 | |
United States | 103.0 | 109.1 | 110.8 | 111.3 | 108.9 |
132.3 | 129.0 | 128.9 | 125.0 | 127.1 | |
Japan | 62.5 | 65.9 | 66.6 | 67.2 | 66.5 |
110.6 | 110.1 | 111.9 | 113.5 | 115.9 | |
Euro area | 57.4 | 61.1 | 62.1 | 62.5 | 61.2 |
94.6 | 96.5 | 97.3 | 97.8 | 97.9 | |
o/w Germany | 53.3 | 56.7 | 57.8 | 58.4 | 57.9 |
86.4 | 88.6 | 89.6 | 90.4 | 91.0 | |
France | 61.1 | 66.4 | 67.7 | 67.9 | 66.5 |
97.2 | 99.8 | 100.6 | 101.0 | 101.4 | |
Italy | 41.1 | 44.3 | 45.1 | 45.5 | 44.1 |
62.1 | 64.0 | 64.7 | 65.3 | 65.0 | |
Spain | 56.9 | 61.2 | 62.5 | 62.8 | 61.4 |
90.7 | 93.4 | 94.4 | 94.7 | 95.1 | |
United Kingdom | 83.6 | 86.9 | 88.4 | 89.1 | 86.7 |
126.8 | 126.6 | 127.6 | 127.6 | 127.3 |
Non-financial corporations debt (in % of GDP)
Q4 2019 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2020 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2021 | |
United States | 47.1 | 52.4 | 52.6 | 53.2 | 51.1 |
Japan | 89.2 | 101.8 | 103.5 | 103.6 | 102.6 |
Euro area | 58.4 | 65.3 | 65.4 | 67.0 | 64.7 |
o/w Germany | 45.4 | 50.1 | 50.2 | 51.4 | 50.2 |
France | 73.0 | 85.5 | 86.8 | 86.1 | 82.8 |
Italy | 63.2 | 70.6 | 71.8 | 72.1 | 69.4 |
Spain | 60.5 | 69.6 | 70.5 | 71.4 | 69.0 |
United Kingdom | 56.0 | 61.4 | 61.4 | 60.9 | 59.5 |
Source: Quarterly national financial accounts and Eurostat, Computation: Banque de France
The rebound in nominal GDP allows the general government debt ratio in the euro area to decrease by 1.7 percentage points reaching 98.3% of GDP at the end of the second quarter of 2021. However, debt in the numerator of this ratio continued to increase (cf. additional information). The public debt ratio declines in Germany (-0.2 point of GDP). It also decreases in Spain (-2.5 points in 2021 Q2) and more significantly in France and in Italy (respectively by -3.2 and by -3.3 points).
Outside the euro area, the non-financial private sector debt ratio decreases significantly more in the United States and in Japan (respectively by - 3.1 points and - 1.4 point in 2021 Q2) than in the United Kingdom (- 0.7 point).
However, these declines take place in a context where since 2019 Q4, the debt ratios have increased significantly in all countries : more markedly in Spain and in Italy (respectively by +27.3 and +22 points) than in Germany (+10.8 points), France being in an intermediate position (+17.4 points).
Outside the euro area, the non-financial private sector debt ratio decreases significantly more in the United States and in Japan (respectively by - 3.1 points and - 1.4 point in 2021 Q2) than in the United Kingdom (- 0.7 point).
However, these declines take place in a context where since 2019 Q4, the debt ratios have increased significantly in all countries : more markedly in Spain and in Italy (respectively by +27.3 and +22 points) than in Germany (+10.8 points), France being in an intermediate position (+17.4 points).
Government sector debt (in % of GDP)
Q4 2019 | Q3 2020 | Q4 2020 | Q1 2021 | Q2 2021 | |
United States | 104.0 | 124.9 | 128.6 | 129.6 | 126.5 |
Japan | 210.9 | 231.3 | 234.4 | 234.6 | 233.2 |
Euro area* | 83.6 | 96.6 | 97.3 | 100.0 | 98.3 |
o/w Germany | 58.9 | 69.1 | 68.7 | 69.9 | 69.7 |
France | 97.5 | 115.4 | 115.0 | 118.1 | 114.9 |
Italy | 134.3 | 154.2 | 155.6 | 159.6 | 156.3 |
Spain | 95.5 | 114.1 | 120.0 | 125.3 | 122.8 |
United Kingdom * | 83.8 | 98.6 | 102.3 | 103.2 | 102.5 |
* "Maastricht" definition NSA (nominal value) for European Union countries.
Additional information
For each sector (NFC, Households and General government), the French debt includes outstanding loans from resident and non-resident MFI (i.e. both loans between resident NFCs and between non-resident NFCs are excluded) and issued securities other than shares at nominal value.
Disseminated data of other countries are less detailed. NFC's net loans are therefore estimated in withdrawing loans assets - mainly loans to resident and non-resident affiliated entities - from loans liabilities.
Disseminated data of other countries are less detailed. NFC's net loans are therefore estimated in withdrawing loans assets - mainly loans to resident and non-resident affiliated entities - from loans liabilities.
Breakdown of the increase in households debt ratio (in % of GDP)
Ratio Increase | Debt Effect | GDP Effect | |
Unites States | -2.4 | 1.8 | -4.2 |
Japan | -0.6 | 0.4 | -1.0 |
Euro Area | -1.2 | 0.8 | -2.1 |
o/w Germany | -0.6 | 0.9 | -1.4 |
France | -1.4 | 1.0 | -2.4 |
Italy | -1.3 | 0.4 | -1.8 |
Spain | -1.3 | 1.2 | -2.6 |
United Kingdom | -2.4 | 1.2 | -3.5 |
Breakdown of the increase in non-financial corporations debt ratio (in % of GDP)
Ratio Increase | Debt Effect | GDP Effect | |
Unites States | -2.1 | -0.1 | -2.0 |
Japan | -1.1 | 0.5 | -1.6 |
Euro Area | -2.3 | -0.2 | -2.2 |
o/w Germany | -1.1 | 0.1 | -1.2 |
France | -3.3 | -0.2 | -3.0 |
Italy | -2.7 | 0.1 | -2.8 |
Spain | -2.5 | 0.4 | -2.9 |
United Kingdom | -1.4 | 1.0 | -2.4 |
Breakdown of the increase in General government sector debt ratio (in % of GDP)
Ratio Increase | Debt Effect | GDP Effect | |
Unites States | -3.1 | 1.8 | -4.9 |
Japan | -1.4 | 2.1 | -3.5 |
Euro Area | -1.7 | 1.7 | -3.4 |
o/w Germany | -0.2 | 1.6 | -1.8 |
France | -3.2 | 1.0 | -4.2 |
Italy | -3.3 | 2.7 | -6.0 |
Spain | -2.5 | 2.8 | -5.3 |
United Kingdom | -0.7 | 3.4 | -4.2 |
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Updated on the 18th of November 2021