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Matteo Mogliani

Portrait de Matteo Mogliani

Matteo Mogliani is Deputy Head of the Conjunctural Analysis and Forecasting Division. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from the Paris School of Economics and EHESS. His academic research mainly focuses on time-series econometrics (frequentist and Bayesian), machine learning, macroeconomic forecasting, cointegration, structural breaks, and non-linear time-series modeling. His research has been published in journals including the International Journal of Forecasting and the Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.





Current Position

Deputy Head, Conjunctural Analysis and Forecasting Division, DGSEI DCPM DIACONJ.

Previous Position

  • Banque de France, Head of Section, International macroeconomics division (June 2017-September 2019)

  • Banque de France, senior economist, Macroeconomic forecasting division (September 2014-June 2017)
  • Banque de France, economist, Business conditions division (September 2010-September 2014)
  • University Sorbonne-Paris IV (September 2009-August 2010)
  • OECD (July 2008-September 2008)
  • French Development Agency (September 2007-February 2008).


Ph.D. in Economics, Paris School of Economics and EHESS (2010)
Master of Science in Economics, Paris School of Economics and EHESS (2006)

Research Interest

Time-series econometrics, Machine learning, Macroeconomic forecasting, Macroeconomics, Monetary economics.


+33 (0)1 42 92 59 39

Banque de France, 46-1383 DGSEI-DCPM-DIACONJ, 31 Rue Croix des Petits Champs, 75049 Paris Cedex 01, France

Publications Banque de France Bulletin no. 234:

What explains the persistent weakness of euro area inflation since 2013?

  • Published on 06/11/2021
  • 9 pages
  • EN
  • PDF (422.15 KB)
Publications Working Paper Series no. 713:

Bayesian MIDAS penalized regressions: estimation, selection, and prediction

  • Published on 03/15/2019
  • 36 pages
  • EN
  • PDF (2.4 MB)
Publications Rue de la Banque no. 56:

Does the Phillips curve still exist?

  • Published on 02/12/2018
  • 5 pages
  • EN
  • PDF (665.75 KB)
Publications Working Paper Series no. 600:

Rationality of announcements, business cycle asymmetry, and predictability of revisions. The case of French GDP

By Mogliani Matteo, Ferrière Thomas
  • EN
  • PDF (553.32 KB)
Publications Working Paper Series no. 473:

New estimate of the MIBA forecasting model. Modeling first-release GDP using the Banque de France's Monthly Business Survey and the “blocking” approach.

By Mogliani Matteo, Brunhes-Lesage Véronique, , Pluyaud Bertrand
  • EN
  • PDF (735.32 KB)
Publications Working Paper Series no. 436:

Nowcasting French GDP in Real-Time from Survey Opinions: Information or Forecast Combinations ?

By Bec Frédérique, Mogliani Matteo
  • EN
  • PDF (481.39 KB)
Publications Working Paper Series no. 383:

Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity ?

By Ferrara Laurent, Marcellino Massimiliano, Mogliani Matteo
  • EN
  • PDF (935.26 KB)
Publications Quarterly Selection of Articles no. 25:

Spring 2012

By Brun Matthieu, Chai Flavia, Cayssials Jean-Luc, Mangin Claire, Rakotoarivelo Johary Johnattan, Souissi Sendes, Montornès Jérémi, Haincourt Sophie, Mogliani Matteo, Bernales Alejandro, Renne Jean-Paul, Vukotic Marija
  • EN
  • PDF (968.34 KB)
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Updated on: 06/30/2020 14:26