Forecasting and Policy Analysis with Semi-Structural Models

Bank of Canada, Banque de France and ECB are jointly organizing a workshop on September 25, 2019, Paris, bringing together leading central banks to discuss modelling strategies, practices and challenges with a view to start a recurrent dialogue on semi-structural macro models used at central banks (and policy institutions) for forecasting and policy purposes.The conference will be held under the Chatham House Rule.*

Preliminary Agenda


08:30 – 08:45

Coffee and registration

08:45 – 09:00

Welcoming remarks

09:00 – 10:00

Session 1: Renewal of semi-structural models in Europe

Chair : Matthieu Darracq-Parriès (European Central Bank)

Matthieu Lemoine (Banque de France)
Nikola Bokan (European Central Bank)
Discussion by Werner Roeger (European Commission)

10:00 – 10:15

Coffee break

10:15 – 11:15

Session 2: Renewal of semi-structural models in large economies

Chair: Jean-François Ouvrard (Banque de France)
Jean-Philippe Laforte (Federal Reserve Board)
Tatsushi Okuda (Bank of Japan)
Discussion by Fabio Busetti (Banca d’Italia)

11:15 – 11:30

Coffee break

11:15 – 11:30

Session 3: Renewal of semi-structural models in small open economies

Chair: Matteo Ciccarelli (European Central Bank)

Justin-Damien Guenette and Olivier Gervais (Bank of Canada)
Adam Richardson (Reserve Bank of New Zealand)
Discussion by Rafael Portillo (International Monetary Fund)

12:30 – 14:00

Lunch break

14:00 – 14:45

Keynote Presentation: Fabio Canova (BI, Norwegian Business School)

14:45 –16:00

Session 4: Modelling strategies and policy analysis I

Chair: Olivier Garnier (Banque de France)
Frank Smets (European Central Bank)
Jens Ulbrich (Bundesbank)
Francesca Monti (Bank of England)

16:00 – 16:15

Coffee break

16:15 – 17:30

Session 5: Modelling strategies and policy analysis II

Chair: Rafael Portillo (International Monetary Fund)
Marc-André Gosselin (Bank of Canada)

Ida Wolden Bache (Norges Bank)

John Roberts (Federal Reserve Board)

17:30 – 17:45

Concluding remarks and adjourn

Organising Committee: Matteo Ciccarelli (European Central bank ), Matthieu Darracq-Paries (European Central Bank), Justin-Damien Guenette (Bank of Canada), Matthieu Lemoine (Banque de France), Jean-Francois Ouvrard (Banque de France)

  * Participants are free to use the information received, but neither the identity nor the affiliation of the speaker(s), nor that of any other participant, may be revealed.

Forecasting and Policy Analysis with Semi-Structural Models

Updated on: 12/03/2019 12:13